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Riding the Tiger > Category: 2012 Election

Riding The Tiger

“I discovered that being a President is like riding a tiger. A man has to keep on riding or be swallowed.” Harry S. Truman

Economic Recovery: Built to Last?

ABC's panel of economic experts at the Newseum in Washington, D.C.

Watch full video of the debate on ABC’s website.

“It’s the economy, stupid!” as James Carville, Bill Clinton’s campaign strategist, famously said in 1992. Ten years later, that phrase rings just as true. The economy will no doubt play a significant role in the 2012 campaign as the public considers which candidates are best equipped to lead the country in the face of uncertain economic times.

Recognizing the importance of the economy this election season, the Miller Center partnered with ABC’s This Week with George Stephanopoulos in the second of six special episodes as part of our 2012 Election National Discussion and Debate Series. The all-star panel featured Google Executive Chairman Eric Schmidt, former HP CEO Carly Fiorina, former Governor Jennifer Granholm of Michigan, New York Times op-ed columnist and Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman, former Comptroller General David Walker, and Pulitzer Prize-winning commentator George Will. Watch videos of the panel and a web extra of Paul Krugman discussing inflation here

Friday Roundup

Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio, photo by Gage Skidmore

Each week in the Friday Roundup, Riding the Tiger takes a look at the major news stories of the week involving the presidential election of 2012.

This week the Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Arizona’s 2010 immigration law, S.B. 1070. Media reports suggested the Court, based on their questions, appeared to be rediscovering federalism and might be inclined to uphold a controversial part of the law. In a post for Riding the Tiger earlier this week, Anna O. Law provided historical context to the debate over who should control immigration policy, and conversations from the Miller Center's Presidential Recordings Program examined the historical relationship between immigration and the economy. 

Economic Effects on Immigration

The Bracero Program

In 1942, the first Mexican workers arrive in Los Angeles, California, as part of the Bracero Program.

Today the Supreme Court will hear oral arguments on Arizona’s S.B. 1070 law, which allows local police to inquire about the immigration status of people—stopped for any reason—whom they suspect are in the country illegally. One of the core issues at the heart of the Supreme Court decision is which level of government should address immigration policy. In a post for Riding the Tiger earlier this week, Anna O. Law provided historical context to the debate over who should control immigration policy.

S.B. 1070 and other state laws also raise important questions regarding the link between the economy and immigration. Historically, debates over national immigration policy have included two arguments. The first is the claim that immigrants do work that Americans do not want to do. On the other hand is the concern that illegal immigrants take jobs away from Americans.

Immigration Policy: Whose Line Is it Anyway?

Arizona Governor Jan Brewer meeting with President Barack Obama in June 2010 .

Arizona Governor Jan Brewer with President Obama, discussing immigration and border security issues in the wake of SB1070.

Today's guest post is from Anna O. Law, associate professor of political science at DePaul University and the author of The Immigration Battle in American Courts (Cambridge University Press, 2010).

The Supreme Court will this week hear oral argument in a case about Arizona's controversial immigration law, S.B. 1070. While the national debate over immigration has become reduced to campaign trail sound bites and a general holding pattern within the Obama Administration, the Supreme Court has the potential with this ruling in the Arizona case to make an important contribution in improving immigration policy.

Nicole Hemmer on NYT Opinion Pages

Former Miller Center Fellow and Riding the Tiger contributor Nicole Hemmer has published an op-ed on the New York Times' Campaign Stops website, "The Boys Who Cried Fox." Check out her piece on Mitt's similarities to his father George Romney on our blog here.

Romney and Conservatism

Romney on a campaign stop in Philadelphia in April.

Romney on a campaign stop in Philadelphia organized by the Tea Party on April 17.

Today we welcome a post from Verlan Lewis, a Ph.D. candidate in the Woodrow Wilson Department of Politics at the University of Virginia. His recent work has focused on American political parties, thought, and development.

With the Republican presidential nomination contest all sewn up, it is time to give historical perspective—as the Miller Center often does—to the process that has delivered Mitt Romney the nomination of the Republican Party. I will attempt to do so in two parts: one with a relatively long, and another with a relatively short, view of history. First, I will show how 72 years of GOP presidential nominations (19 contests) make it very unsurprising that Romney has won the nomination. Second, I will show how four years of GOP presidential nominations (two contests) actually raises doubts about the conventional wisdom that Romney’s stances on the issues are uniquely inconsistent or “un-conservative” among the Republican candidates.

Who is ‘The Real Romney’?

Miller Center Forum: The Real Romney

One of the most established findings in political science is that an incumbent’s record is central to the public’s judgment in a campaign for reelection. But what about challengers? A challenger’s campaign is more about the promises the candidate makes and their personality. Now that Mitt Romney is the presumptive Republican presidential candidate, journalists, scholars, pundits and citizens alike are seeking to delve even deeper into his seemingly impenetrable background and qualifications in order to evaluate his ability to be president. Last month, the Miller Center hosted a Forum with Boston Globe investigative reporter Michael Kranish, who recently co-authored a new biography on Mitt called The Real Romney. For those of you who weren’t able to attend the Forum, we’ve put together some highlights.

Education and the 2012 Election

Department of Education, 2006

Department of Education in 2006. Photo by M. V. Jantzen.

Today's guest post is from Christopher P. Loss, assistant professor of public policy and higher education at Vanderbilt University, and former Miller Center National Fellow. This piece originally appeared on the Princeton University Press Election 101 blog.

It’s Tax Day!

President Obama and Warren Buffett

President Obama and Warren Buffett

Today is the IRS tax filing deadline for 2011. Be sure to get your taxes submitted today. 

Throughout history, presidents have been involved in setting tax policy and then trying to sell their plan to the public. Recently President Obama has been touting the benefits of the Buffett Rule, which would raise taxes on people earning more than $1 million a year. As CNN acknowledged, the Buffett Rule has little chance of moving forward in the U.S. Senate, but Bloomberg Businessweek's Joshua Green argues that it might be more powerful as a political message than as actual legislation. 

Presidents and Tax Policy: The Politics of Persuasion is a Miller Center exhibit that looks at various snapshots of presidential tax policy drawing on a wide array of its resources, including presidential speeches, forums, presidential recordings, and oral histories.

More than ‘Warm Spit’: Why VEEP Selection Matters

John Nance Garner, 32nd Vice President of the United States

John Nance Garner, 32nd Vice President of the United States

When it comes to vice presidential nominations, the scholars, journalists, and politicians who know and care the most about the subject know that people vote for president and not vice president. This knowledge is inconvenient. If it doesn’t really matter who the nominees for vice president are, then how can we justify all the time we’re about to spend obsessing over who Mitt Romney will choose as his running mate?

Let the Veepstakes Begin

Click "listen," then "play" above to hear the clip. Launch full screen player.

With Rick Santorum’s announcement that he will halt his campaign, leaving Mitt Romney the presumed Republican presidential nominee, it’s time to start playing one of everyone’s favorite election season parlor games – the VEEPstakes.

Santorum Suspends Campaign

Rick Santorum in March 2012

Rick Santorum at the US Space & Rocket Center, Huntsville, Alabama, in March 2012. Photo by Holley St. Germain.

Clearing the way for Mitt Romney as the GOP nominee to face President Barack Obama in the general election, Rick Santorum suspended his campaign today, saying that "while the presidential race for us is over... we are not done fighting."

His decision comes after the weekend hospitalization of his daughter Isabella, who was born with Trisomy 18, and amidst a dwindling single digit lead in polling in his home state of Pennsylvania.

Breaking the (Nuclear) Cycle: The Diplomatic Dance with a ‘Soprano State’

The Yongbyon Nuclear Center in the DPRK.

Siegfried Hecker, a Stanford physicist, examines machinery removed from the disabled Yongbyon Nuclear Center in 2008.

During his trip to Seoul for the Nuclear Security Summit last month, President Obama visited the Demilitarized Zone that marks the border between North and South Korea. That visit, coupled with the satellite/missile launch that Pyongyang has planned for mid-April, highlights the fact that the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) remains one of the most intractable challenges facing American foreign policy. It will remain so regardless of whether Barack Obama or Mitt Romney wins the election in November.

Romney Sweeps the April 3 contests

Romney during last month's Super Tuesday contests

Romney on the campaign trail in March. Photo by Dana Hansen/ Boston University News Service.

With wins yesterday in Wisconsin, DC, and Maryland, Mitt Romney has moved one step closer to becoming the Republican presidential nominee. Rick Santorum mounted a significant effort in Wisconsin, where he lost by 5 percentage points. The final tally in Wisconsin gave Romney 43% of the vote compared to Santorum's 38%. In Maryland, amidst low voter turnout, Romney won 49% of the vote and Santorum won 29%. Romney won big in DC with 70% of the vote; second place went to Ron Paul with 12%. Santorum was not on the ballot in DC.

In his victory speech, Romney set his sights squarely on President Obama, whose re-election campaign recently launched ads targeting the former Massachusetts governor -- signaling a shift in rhetoric that anticipates the two-man race that is soon to come.

Barbara Perry on Presidents and the Supreme Court

Today in the Washington Post, our own Barbara Perry compares FDR's approach to addressing the Supreme Court to President Obama’s. You can read her thoughtful insights on last week's Obamacare hearings on our blog here.