Miller Center

Next →
Barnburner or Instant Star?: Conversion Stories at Republican Conventions
← Previous
Greatest Hits in the Modern History of Republican Conventions

You might also like...

Miller Center Celebrates President’s Day with Panel on 2012 Election (02/22/13)

A Citizen’s-eye View of the 57th Inauguration (01/31/13)

A Voter’s Eye View of the 2012 Election - Charles Stewart III (01/25/13)

Top Quotes from the 2012 Presidential Election (12/31/12)

The Biggest Myths of the 2012 Election (11/29/12)

Presidential Speech Archive

American President: A Reference Resource

Presidential Recordings

Presidential Oral Histories

← Return to Riding The Tiger

Enter RTT’s Convention Bump Contest

Since 1964, Gallup polling has shown that, on average, a presidential candidate will earn a five percentage point “bump” in polls following their party’s convention. Of course, bumps for individual candidates vary and the sustainability of a post-convention bump depends upon circumstances and events that follow (e.g. financial crisis, poor debate performance, ect.). Furthermore, a convention bump doesn’t necessarily mean election victory.

As anticipation builds (at least among the party loyal) for the the Republican and Democratic National Conventions this week and next, we’ve decided to once again indulge your political junkie pleasures with a Convention Bump contest. Here are the rules.

Enter the following information in the "Comments" to this post by 5 pm on Friday, August 31:

  1. Your prediction of how much of a bump Mitt Romney and Barack Obama will get following their party's respective conventions.
  2. Tell us how long the bump will last.
  3. You can, of course, predict no bump at all or a negative one (John Kerry, for example lost one percentage point following the Democratic convention in 2004).

Winner(s) will receive a coveted Miller Center T-shirt and be featured in a blog post with nominal title of RTT’s “Political Junkie of the Week.”

Date edited: 08/28/2012 (6:45AM)


Rules for Comments

We reserve the right to remove any post or user.

Things that will get comments edited/deleted:

  • Offensive or abusive language or behavior
  • Misrepresentation (i.e., claiming to be somebody you're not) – using a “handle” is fine as long as it isn’t offensive, abusive, or misrepresentative
  • Posting of copyrighted materials
  • Spam, solicitations, or advertisements of any kind

We hope these rules will keep the discussion lively and on topic.

Commenting is not available in this channel entry.

← Return to Riding The Tiger